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ee-tom's Discussions

Quantifying the Consensus

Started this discussion. Last reply by ee-tom May 23. 26 Replies

The AGW thread on this site is designed for scientific discussion about the facts of AGW. That mostly got thrashed out in the early days, and new data, while to me intensely interesting, does not…Continue

The Gooch screws Fibb

Started this discussion. Last reply by ee-tom Apr 27. 20 Replies

From B's characteristically uncritical interview with Gooch:Basically what Dick does is he makes up a sample and in the space of a week, probably makes up 4 different samples. Sometimes it will be…Continue

Why DW's stuff is maybe interesting

Started this discussion. Last reply by student Apr 16. 25 Replies

I have not written tech stuff properly here for a while, because there has not been much new to say.Now, however, we do have something interesting. I'm basing this post on two data:(1) we are told…Continue

Questions for Zenn

Started this discussion. Last reply by brianjones Mar 18. 19 Replies

It should not be needed, but reading comments here perhaps it is.(1) Do you have any significant new evidence, since JK took charge of Zenn, that EEstor have any advanced technology, other than that…Continue

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Latest Activity

Parallel replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"ee-tom, The only reason you don't get it, that I can think of, is your belief system won't let you see how the IPCC erred.  When the IPCC started down this road of exaggerated rate of increase due to CO2 it was because they…"
2 hours ago
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Parallel - yes I would. And you would realise why, if you started thinking and stopped using reflex prejudice here. Think what it means that the models average out internal variability, and think how much internal variability you get from ENSO…"
5 hours ago
Parallel replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"ee-tom, You are willfully blind.  Akasofu NEVER said anything about a nice periodic oscillation.  In fact you claimed he was "unscientific" because he couldn't forecast them.   We don't yet know what the rate…"
8 hours ago
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Parallel - the temp record has internal variability like the last 15 years often. It is not a nice periodic oscillation, as claimed by Akasofu, and the trend rate is much higher than he claims. And the diagram you've just posted cannot possibly…"
9 hours ago
Parallel replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Technopete. You believe the bit about just looking at El nino etc is sufficient to explain the pause, but you don't believe the paper when it talks about a 15 year pause.  Talk about cherry picking. What you and ee-tom fail to understand…"
9 hours ago
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"The current SST anomaly is +0.2C. Eli Nino is +0.5 or more, La Nina is -0.5 or less. Currently prediction is 80% probability of El Nino Autumn 2014. "
10 hours ago
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Parallel, you have never understood models. And as you well know what they do is different from forecasting. The models accurately model AMO/ENSO behaviour. But because this is chaotic they don't keep in phase with the real world, even if in…"
14 hours ago
Parallel replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"ee-tom, Like hell you have been telling me this.  You have claimed the IPCC models are correct and Akasofu "unscientific" So much for AGW and "climate change" destroying the country."
16 hours ago
ee-tom replied to Futureman's discussion LENR or "Cold Fusion" Thread
"It is telling that he did not write up his claimed replication. Easy for circuits driving magnets to generate EMC that interferes with neutron detectors. But with anecdotal evidence and no decent right-ups, nor a decent experimental protocol that…"
16 hours ago
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Parallel - they do take into account MDOs - that is the whole point! Otherwise they could not do this. But MDOs are classic chaotic weather patterns that no model, however clever, can predict 15 years in advance. I've been telling you this…"
21 hours ago
Parallel replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Technopete & ee-tom, LOL. I have been saying for some years now that Akasofu was right and models that don't take MDOs into account are certain to be wrong.  Now it seems someone in the climatologist community has finally noticed this…"
yesterday
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"This is a clever idea. It is interesting that ENSO variability seems to account for nearly all of the last 15 years variation. There are other candidates. It is supported by recent work showing that ENSO phase is correlated with trade wind…"
yesterday
Scooter replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"ee-tom, somewhere a village is looking for you! "
Friday
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Indeed - would you like to say how crappy is that, or shall I tell you? You appear no more able to reason rationally than a 5 year old child in a sweet shop! "
Friday
Scooter replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Even the IPCC, as shown in the draft of its own report, knows how crappy the models have performed!   "
Friday
ee-tom replied to ee-tom's discussion Let's play Hockey
"Parallel, the evidence you post here (eg Spencer's graph) is manifestly false: the baselining error invalidates the conclusions you and he draw. You have never posted better evidence and the fact that you appear not even to realise the mistake…"
Friday

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Comment Wall (1 comment)

At 4:58am on March 30, 2012, Tom Villars said…

Welcome back.

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